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Mortgage interest rates have been largely stable since summer 2025. The strong Swiss franc insulates Switzerland from significant price increases and high inflation expectations. However, the globally high energy prices have not left Switzerland unaffected; in fact, they are acting as a brake on economic growth. Concerns about growth are keeping long-term interest rates in check and preventing a sharper rise in financing costs. Interest rate hikes are attributable to concerns about oil shortages, and this, in turn, is being counteracted by capital inflows from abroad and concerns about growth. Sometimes one factor predominates, then the other, resulting in a wave-like sideways movement.
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is likely to leave its key interest rate unchanged at 0% until the end of the year. Interest rates are therefore expected to remain stable – or perhaps rise slightly – over the coming months, buoyed by low inflation, a weak economy and the strong Swiss franc. Internationally, however, there are increasing signs of a structurally higher interest rate environment, which makes a return to the rock-bottom interest rates seen in Switzerland prior to 2022 less and less likely. Instead, the current interest rate level in Switzerland could well become the new normal, remaining highly attractive by historical standards and in comparison to other countries.
Note: Predictions regarding future rate trends are highly complex, so should always be regarded as an estimate as opposed to a precise indicator.